Long-term forecasting on Electricity (MSE, MAE, CRPS)
0.127MSECycleNet
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CycleNetHorizon=962025.01 | 0.127 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / MLPHorizon=962025.01 | 0.127 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=962025.01 | 0.129 | — | — | |
| TTMET=962025.02 | 0.129 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTT=962025.02 | 0.129 | 0.222 | — | |
| GTMPred_len=962025.02 | 0.131 | 0.225 | — | |
| GTMT=962025.02 | 0.131 | 0.225 | — | |
| SWIFT / LinearHorizon=962025.01 | 0.133 | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=962025.01 | 0.134 | — | — | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=962025.02 | 0.134 | 0.231 | — | |
| TSMixer + xCPDBackbone=TSMixer, Forecasting Horizon=962026.03 | 0.135 | 0.23 | — | |
| GPT4TST=962025.02 | 0.139 | 0.238 | — | |
| DlinearHorizon=962025.01 | 0.14 | — | — | |
| DLinearT=962025.02 | 0.14 | 0.237 | — | |
| CycleNetHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.144 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / MLPHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.144 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTT=1922025.02 | 0.147 | 0.24 | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=962025.01 | 0.148 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / LinearHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.148 | — | — | |
| TTMET=1922025.02 | 0.148 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.149 | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.149 | — | — | |
| GTMPred_len=1922025.02 | 0.149 | 0.243 | — | |
| GTMT=1922025.02 | 0.149 | 0.243 | — | |
| DlinearHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.153 | — | — | |
| GPT4TST=1922025.02 | 0.153 | 0.251 | — | |
| DLinearT=1922025.02 | 0.153 | 0.249 | — | |
| IPatchHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.153 | 0.239 | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.153 | 0.247 | — | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=1922025.02 | 0.154 | 0.251 | — | |
| TimeAlignPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.154 | 0.244 | — | |
| TS-MemoryBackbone=ChronosBolt, Adaptation Method=Retrieval-distilled Memory2026.02 | 0.155 | 0.241 | 0.232 | |
| RAFTBackbone=ChronosBolt, Adaptation Method=Online Retrieval2026.02 | 0.156 | 0.244 | 0.24 | |
| LoRABackbone=ChronosBolt, Adaptation Method=Parameter-efficient Fine-tuning2026.02 | 0.156 | 0.244 | 0.244 | |
| TS-RAGBackbone=ChronosBolt, Adaptation Method=Online Retrieval2026.02 | 0.157 | 0.245 | 0.24 | |
| CycleNetHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.157 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / MLPHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.157 | — | — | |
| UniTS-PMTT=962025.02 | 0.157 | 0.258 | — | |
| TTMET=Avg2025.02 | 0.158 | — | — | |
| OriginBackbone=ChronosBolt, Adaptation Method=None2026.02 | 0.159 | 0.244 | 0.239 | |
| CycleNetHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.159 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTT=Avg2025.02 | 0.159 | 0.252 | — | |
| SWIFT / MLPHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.16 | — | — | |
| GTMPred_len=Avg.2025.02 | 0.161 | 0.254 | — | |
| GTMT=Avg2025.02 | 0.161 | 0.254 | — | |
| TTMET=3362025.02 | 0.161 | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.162 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / LinearHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.162 | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.163 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTT=3362025.02 | 0.163 | 0.259 | — | |
| IPatchHorizon=192, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.163 | 0.248 | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.164 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / LinearHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.164 | — | — | |
| FITSHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.165 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.166 | — | — | |
| GTMPred_len=3362025.02 | 0.166 | 0.259 | — | |
| GTMT=3362025.02 | 0.166 | 0.259 | — | |
| DLinearT=Avg2025.02 | 0.166 | 0.263 | — | |
| DLinearPrediction Length (O)=Avg2025.09 | 0.166 | 0.264 | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=192, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.166 | 0.256 | — | |
| DlinearHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.167 | — | — | |
| GPT4TST=Avg2025.02 | 0.167 | 0.263 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=962025.01 | 0.168 | — | — | |
| TimesNetT=962025.02 | 0.168 | 0.272 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.168 | 0.272 | — | |
| DlinearHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.169 | — | — | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=Avg.2025.02 | 0.169 | 0.265 | — | |
| GPT4TST=3362025.02 | 0.169 | 0.266 | — | |
| DLinearT=3362025.02 | 0.169 | 0.267 | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.169 | 0.273 | — | |
| UniTS-PMTT=1922025.02 | 0.173 | 0.272 | — | |
| Sundial-sPred_len=3362025.02 | 0.174 | 0.271 | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=3362025.01 | 0.178 | — | — | |
| iTransformerHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.178 | — | — | |
| WPMixerPrediction Length=Avg, Input Length=962026.02 | 0.178 | 0.268 | — | |
| iTransformerPrediction Length=Avg, Input Length=962026.02 | 0.178 | 0.27 | — | |
| MICNHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.18 | 0.293 | — | |
| TimeGSPrediction Length=Avg, Input Length=962026.02 | 0.181 | 0.265 | — | |
| TimeMixerPrediction Length=Avg, Input Length=962026.02 | 0.182 | 0.272 | — | |
| IPatchHorizon=336, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.182 | 0.268 | — | |
| StationaryHorizon=192, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.182 | 0.286 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.184 | — | — | |
| UniTS-PMTT=Avg2025.02 | 0.184 | 0.282 | — | |
| TimesNetT=1922025.02 | 0.184 | 0.289 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=192, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.184 | 0.322 | — | |
| UniTS-PMTT=3362025.02 | 0.185 | 0.284 | — | |
| TimeMixerHorizon=336, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.185 | 0.277 | — | |
| FEDformerT=962025.02 | 0.186 | 0.302 | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=962025.01 | 0.188 | — | — | |
| MICNHorizon=192, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.189 | 0.302 | — | |
| TimesNetT=Avg2025.02 | 0.192 | 0.295 | — | |
| TimesNetHorizon=Avg2025.01 | 0.193 | — | — | |
| TTMET=7202025.02 | 0.193 | — | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=96, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.193 | 0.308 | — | |
| PatchTSTHorizon=336, Look-back=962026.03 | 0.194 | 0.284 | — | |
| CycleNetHorizon=7202025.01 | 0.196 | — | — | |
| AutoformerT=962025.02 | 0.196 | 0.313 | — | |
| FEDformerHorizon=1922025.01 | 0.197 | — | — | |
| SWIFT / MLPHorizon=7202025.01 | 0.197 | — | — | |
| PatchTSTT=7202025.02 | 0.197 | 0.29 | — |