ResearchBenchmarksLarge Model Performance Prediction on Frontier Top-20 pattern shiftLarge Model Performance Prediction on Frontier Top-20 pattern shiftFollow9.71RMSESTAR9.534810.717411.913.0826Feb 12, 2026Evaluation resultsMethodMethodLinksRMSEMAEScore AvgSRCCKRCCMAE@3%Rank AvgTotal ScoreSTARShift Type=Model-side,...Shift Type=Model-side, Scenario=Frontier (Top-20)2026.029.717.798.7595.5587.3855.4179.45—CPMFShift Type=Model-side,...Shift Type=Model-side, Scenario=Frontier (Top-20)2026.0210.718.939.8294.9786.3550.6477.32—PMFShift Type=Model-side,...Shift Type=Model-side, Scenario=Frontier (Top-20)2026.0214.0912.3513.2292.6683.2850.6475.53—