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Identifying flawed instruments on GDP → Conflict

1HG ScoreIV Co-Scientist (GPT-4o)
-0.040.230.50.77Feb 8, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
IV Co-Scientist (GPT-4o)Backbone=GPT-4o, Persona=Economist, Multi-agent=HypothesisGenerator and CriticAgents2026.0210
IV Co-Scientist (o3-mini)Backbone=o3-mini, Persona=Economist, Multi-agent=HypothesisGenerator and CriticAgents2026.0210
IV Co-Scientist (QwQ)Backbone=QwQ, Persona=Economist, Multi-agent=HypothesisGenerator and CriticAgents2026.0210
IV Co-Scientist (Llama3.1 70B)Backbone=Llama3.1 70B, Persona=Economist, Multi-agent=HypothesisGenerator and CriticAgents2026.0210
IV Co-Scientist (Llama3.1 8B)Backbone=Llama3.1 8B, Persona=Economist, Multi-agent=HypothesisGenerator and CriticAgents2026.0201