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Human Preference Prediction on Chatbot Arena latest (test)

72.18AccuracySynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas)
49.112855.101461.0967.0786Oct 14, 2024Nov 22, 2024Dec 31, 2024Feb 8, 2025Mar 19, 2025Apr 27, 2025Jun 5, 2025

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0672.18
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0672.18
Finetuned Reward ModelEvaluation Protocol=Bradley-Terry Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0671.48
SkillAggregation-XJudge Model Size=~70B, Number of Runs=52024.1070.72
SkillAggregationJudge Model Size=~70B, Number of Runs=52024.1070.66
Average ProbabilityJudge Model Size=~70B2024.1070.65
DawidSkeneJudge Model Size=~70B2024.1070.64
SkillAggregation w/o. Reg.Judge Model Size=~70B, Number of Runs=52024.1070.62
Majority VotingJudge Model Size=~70B2024.1070.61
Train on Majority VotingJudge Model Size=~70B, Number of Runs=52024.1070.53
CrowdlayerJudge Model Size=~70B, Number of Runs=52024.1070.38
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0669.72
Finetuned Reward ModelEvaluation Protocol=Bradley-Terry Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0669.01
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0669.01
Finetuned Reward ModelEvaluation Protocol=Bradley-Terry Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0668.31
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0667.25
SynthesizeMe (+ FT RM + Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0666.55
DawidSkeneJudge Model Size=7B/8B2024.1064.71
SkillAggregation-XJudge Model Size=7B/8B, Number of Runs=52024.1064.43
SkillAggregationJudge Model Size=7B/8B, Number of Runs=52024.1064.22
SkillAggregation w/o. Reg.Judge Model Size=7B/8B, Number of Runs=52024.1064.17
CrowdlayerJudge Model Size=7B/8B, Number of Runs=52024.1064.06
Majority VotingJudge Model Size=7B/8B2024.1063.93
Train on Majority VotingJudge Model Size=7B/8B, Number of Runs=52024.1063.77
Average ProbabilityJudge Model Size=7B/8B2024.1063.24
SynthesizeMe (Just Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0661.97
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0661.97
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Demos + Distill)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0661.62
PALEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0660.56
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Distill)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0659.15
MemoryEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0658.1
GPOEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0658.1
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0657.92
MemoryEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0657.57
SynthesizeMe (Just Personas)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0657.39
DefaultEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0656.69
GPOEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0656.69
VPLEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0656.69
PALEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0656.69
SynthesizeMe (Just Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0655.11
VPLEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0654.93
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Distill)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0654.75
DefaultEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0654.23
GPOEvaluation Protocol=Finetuned Reward Model, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0653.87
DefaultEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.1 8B2025.0653.7
SynthesizeMe (Just Personas)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.3 70B2025.0653.7
SynthesizeMe (Just Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0653.17
SynthesizeMe (Personas + Demos)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0652.46
MemoryEvaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0652.29
SynthesizeMe (Just Personas)Evaluation Protocol=In-Context LLM as a Judge, Backbone=Llama 3.2 3B2025.0650.88
RandomEvaluation Protocol=Baseline2025.0650