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Hospitalization Forecasting on County-level Hospitalization (Low Intensity tertile)

23.8MAPELag-1
23.155627.505331.85536.2047Apr 27, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Lag-1Model Category=Classical Baselines2026.0423.8
LLM (Prompt-Only)Model Category=LLM-Based2026.0425.44
Exp. SmoothingModel Category=Classical Baselines2026.0426.47
Hybrid ARXModel Category=Context-Augmented Hybrid2026.0431.16
AR(1)Model Category=Classical Baselines2026.0432.44
ARXModel Category=Classical Baselines2026.0435.74
Hybrid Linear Reg.Model Category=Context-Augmented Hybrid2026.0439.91