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Honest commitment prediction on Commitment prediction dataset (Leave-one-environment-out OOD split)

0.729Mean OOD AUROCAttention + PCA final
0.455480.526490.59750.66851May 16, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Attention + PCA finalModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.729
Attention + PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.712
All attentionModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.711
Attention + PCA final − prevModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.711
Attention + PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.709
Grounding transition onlyModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.706
All attentionModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.705
Attention + PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.7
Attention + PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.695
Grounding transition onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.691
Attention + PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.689
RawModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.683
Attention + PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.68
Attention + PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.673
Attention + PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.668
Attention + PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.667
All attentionModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.666
PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.664
Grounding onlyModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.664
RawModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.662
Grounding transition onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.661
All attentionModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.66
Attention + PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Combined2026.050.659
Grounding onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.656
PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.653
Concentration onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.649
Grounding onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.645
Concentration onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.645
PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.644
Concentration trans. onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.644
RawModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.643
Grounding transition onlyModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.637
PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.635
PCA finalModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.628
PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.628
PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.626
Concentration trans. onlyModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.626
Concentration onlyModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.625
Concentration trans. onlyModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.624
PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.623
PCA final − prevModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.62
Concentration trans. onlyModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.615
PCA finalModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.612
PCA final − mean(prev 4)Model=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.605
Concentration onlyModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.604
RawModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.601
PCA final − prevModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Activation2026.050.598
Grounding onlyModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Attention2026.050.598
TF-IDF last sentenceModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.562
TF-IDF prefixModel=R1-Distill Qwen-7B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.546
TF-IDF last sentenceModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.516
TF-IDF last sentenceModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.501
TF-IDF prefixModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.501
TF-IDF last sentenceModel=R1-Distill Qwen-14B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.489
TF-IDF prefixModel=GPT-OSS-20B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.482
TF-IDF prefixModel=R1-Distill Llama-8B, Feature Category=Lexical Baselines2026.050.466