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ResearchFormerly WizWand

Forecasting on Weather (MAE)

0.201MAEVFEM
0.19320.245850.29850.35115Sep 25, 2025
Updated 4mo ago

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.201
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.202
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.211
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.212
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.217
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.218
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.228
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.235
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.238
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.248
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.248
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.25
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.251
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.259
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.259
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.269
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.269
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.271
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.271
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.273
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.28
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.282
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.285
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.286
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.29
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.29
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.291
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.292
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.293
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.297
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.297
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.306
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.31
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.315
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.327
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.336
VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.090.337
GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.337
MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.34
UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.341
PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.347
MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.354
TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.090.364
ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.378
ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.090.396