Forecasting on M1 Competition 1001 (all)
8MAPE (h=1)D Sing EXP
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Sing EXPn(max)=9982026.06 | 8 | 11.6 | 13.2 | 14.1 | 17.7 | 19.5 | 17.9 | 16.9 | 21.1 | 21.1 | |
| Combining An(max)=10012026.06 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 12.1 | 13.3 | 16.7 | 19.2 | 19.7 | 18.6 | 24.2 | 24.2 | |
| Neural-ETSn(max)=9982026.06 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.6 | 16.8 | 19.1 | 18.7 | 16.9 | 21.4 | 25.8 | |
| Combining Rn(max)=10012026.06 | 8.5 | 11.1 | 12.8 | 13.8 | 17.6 | 19.2 | 18.9 | 18.4 | 23.3 | 23.3 | |
| D Holt EXPn(max)=9982026.06 | 8.7 | 11 | 13.3 | 15.2 | 19.1 | 21.6 | 24.8 | 23.9 | 33.7 | 33.7 | |
| D BrownEXPn(max)=10012026.06 | 8.7 | 10.9 | 13.8 | 15 | 19.7 | 21.1 | 24.5 | 23.1 | 30.8 | 30.8 | |
| WINTERSn(max)=9982026.06 | 8.7 | 10.9 | 13.2 | 14.9 | 19 | 21.5 | 24.3 | 23 | 32.8 | 32.8 | |
| Autom. AEPn(max)=10012026.06 | 9.1 | 11.9 | 13.4 | 13.7 | 17.9 | 20.3 | 20.3 | 19.3 | 24.8 | 24.8 | |
| Chronos-2n(max)=10012026.06 | 9.1 | 12.3 | 13.4 | 14.3 | 17.9 | 21.4 | 18.2 | 18.3 | 23.9 | 40.4 | |
| D ARR EXPn(max)=10012026.06 | 9.4 | 13.5 | 14 | 15.3 | 18.1 | 20.2 | 18 | 17.1 | 21.4 | 21.4 | |
| NAIVE2n(max)=10012026.06 | 9.6 | 11.3 | 13.3 | 14.6 | 18.4 | 19.9 | 19.1 | 17.1 | 21.9 | 21.9 | |
| D Quad.EXPn(max)=10012026.06 | 9.8 | 12.7 | 16.6 | 18.8 | 25.7 | 31 | 45.1 | 40.7 | 64.4 | 64.4 | |
| Single EXPn(max)=9982026.06 | 11.2 | 16.5 | 16.2 | 17.1 | 21.6 | 24.1 | 22.6 | 17.5 | 23.3 | 23.3 | |
| Bayesian Fn(max)=9972026.06 | 11.2 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 15.2 | 19.8 | 22.3 | 22.6 | 18.9 | 23.5 | 23.5 | |
| Holt EXPn(max)=9982026.06 | 11.4 | 15.9 | 16.6 | 18.6 | 23.7 | 26.8 | 30.1 | 26.5 | 39.5 | 39.5 | |
| Brown EXPn(max)=10012026.06 | 11.4 | 15.9 | 17.6 | 18.8 | 24.2 | 27.8 | 31.4 | 29.3 | 43.9 | 43.9 | |
| D Mov.Avrgn(max)=10012026.06 | 11.5 | 14.9 | 17 | 17.8 | 21.5 | 22.3 | 20.6 | 17.8 | 23.2 | 23.2 | |
| NAIVE 1n(max)=10012026.06 | 11.9 | 16.9 | 17 | 17.7 | 22.4 | 25 | 24.7 | 17.1 | 24.9 | 24.9 | |
| ARR EXPn(max)=10012026.06 | 12.4 | 18.9 | 17.6 | 19 | 21.7 | 24.6 | 21.7 | 18.7 | 24.2 | 24.2 | |
| Quad.EXPn(max)=10002026.06 | 12.8 | 18 | 21.1 | 23.1 | 31.9 | 38.3 | 52.8 | 56 | 91.3 | 91.3 | |
| Mov.Averagn(max)=10012026.06 | 13 | 18.1 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 22.8 | 25 | 23.2 | 17.8 | 23.3 | 23.3 | |
| D Regressn(max)=9972026.06 | 15.6 | 16.9 | 19.1 | 18.3 | 21.9 | 23 | 24.2 | 29.7 | 49.1 | 49.1 | |
| Regressionn(max)=9972026.06 | 17.8 | 21.8 | 22.1 | 21 | 25.8 | 26.7 | 28 | 30.8 | 51.9 | 51.9 |