Forecasting on Lorenz96 intermediate-complexity sweet spot F=8, N=16
0.2648RMSE (h=1)Full
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FullProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Aggregation=Mean (5 seeds)2026.05 | 0.2648 | 1.1935 | 4.2417 | |
| DirectProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Aggregation=Mean (5 seeds)2026.05 | 0.2769 | 1.3252 | 4.5646 | |
| RC-ESNProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Baseline category=Stress baseline2026.05 | 0.2979 | 1.3734 | 4.3671 | |
| NODEProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Aggregation=Mean (5 seeds)2026.05 | 0.3574 | 2.0971 | 5.6482 | |
| LSTMProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Aggregation=Mean (5 seeds)2026.05 | 0.3665 | 1.7986 | 4.4042 | |
| NVARProtocol=Autoregressive rollout, Baseline category=Stress baseline2026.05 | 2.347 | 4.289 | 46.64 |