Forecasting on Icentia
76.02F1 ScoreCAMEL Probe
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |
|---|---|---|
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 76.02 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 75.46 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 75.14 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 74.64 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 74.3 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 73.54 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 73.42 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 73.36 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 73.18 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 72.7 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 72.56 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 72.52 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 72.04 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 71.37 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 71.37 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 71.34 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 71.05 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 70.73 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 70.48 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 70.3 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 70.15 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.91 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.85 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.83 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.81 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 69.59 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.53 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.43 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.31 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 69.3 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 69.23 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 68.88 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 68.54 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 68.49 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 67.53 | |
| CAMEL ProbeHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Linear probing2026.02 | 67.38 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 67.15 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 66.9 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 65.99 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 65.44 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 64.28 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 63.91 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 63.58 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 63.28 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 61.27 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 60.04 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 59.64 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 59.55 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 58.54 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 58.18 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 58.16 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 58.07 | |
| CAMELHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 58.07 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.93 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.72 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.12 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.09 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.08 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.07 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 57.05 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.89 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.86 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.85 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.6 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 56.37 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.19 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.17 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.09 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 56.04 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 56.03 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 55.8 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 55.58 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 55.41 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 55.2 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 55.06 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.97 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.72 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.62 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 54.43 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.4 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 54.36 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.35 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=10, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 54.08 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.84 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.69 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.59 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 53.42 | |
| XGBHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.37 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.13 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 53.1 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 52.76 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=300, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 52.35 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 52.07 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 52.01 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=30, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 51.96 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=600, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 51.32 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=600, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 51.28 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=180, Input-window (w)=60, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 51.22 | |
| GPT-5.2Horizon (h)=300, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-shot2026.02 | 51.19 | |
| CNNHorizon (h)=60, Input-window (w)=120, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised training2026.02 | 50.79 |