Forecasting on Favorita
1.3sMAPERAID
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAIDHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.3 | — | 50 | 1 | |
| LightGBMHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.36 | — | 43 | 2 | |
| TiDEHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.43 | — | 49 | 3 | |
| TimesFMHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.53 | — | 39 | 4 | |
| Moirai-BaseHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.54 | — | 52 | 5 | |
| TFTHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.55 | — | 51 | 6 | |
| Chronos-SmallHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.57 | — | 35 | 7 | |
| DeepARHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.58 | — | 48 | 8 | |
| DeepMFHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.59 | — | 46 | 9 | |
| CSDIHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.66 | — | 44 | 10 | |
| Global MeanHistory window (L)=02026.06 | 1.86 | — | 53 | 11 | |
| Validation-selected reference2026.06 | 11.7 | 16.2 | — | — | |
| FAMESelection=Top-22026.06 | 12.1 | 16.8 | — | — | |
| Dense soft MoE2026.06 | 12.3 | 17 | — | — | |
| FAMESelection=Top-12026.06 | 12.4 | 17.1 | — | — | |
| Stacking ensemble2026.06 | 12.6 | 17.5 | — | — | |
| AutoML selector2026.06 | 12.7 | 17.6 | — | — | |
| Rule-based USFF2026.06 | 13.1 | 18.1 | — | — | |
| Best single expert2026.06 | 13.5 | 18.7 | — | — |