Forecasting on ETTm1
0.308MAERIDDE
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| RIDDEZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=64, Backbone=Chronos-Bolt2026.05 | 0.308 | 0.282 | |
| TS-RAGZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=64, Backbone=Chronos-Bolt2026.05 | 0.321 | 0.306 | |
| Cross-RAGZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=64, Backbone=Chronos-Bolt2026.05 | 0.322 | 0.293 | |
| RAF-Chronos-boltZero-shot=true, Input length=512, Forecasting horizon=64, Backbone=Chronos-Bolt2026.05 | 0.329 | 0.306 | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.343 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.346 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.352 | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.356 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.361 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.364 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.372 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.373 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.375 | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.375 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.375 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.38 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.381 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.383 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.383 | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.385 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.386 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.387 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.391 | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.392 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.394 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.394 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.4 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.402 | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.403 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.404 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.406 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.407 | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=96, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.408 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.411 | — | |
| VFEMPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Ours2025.09 | 0.411 | — | |
| MoiraiBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.418 | — | |
| MoiraiLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.42 | — | |
| GPT4TSPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.421 | — | |
| UniTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.44 | — | |
| PatchTSTPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.442 | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.45 | — | |
| TimesNetPrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Supervised2025.09 | 0.45 | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.465 | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=192, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.477 | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.481 | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=Avg, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.5 | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=336, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.525 | — | |
| ChronosLargePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.526 | — | |
| ChronosBasePrediction Horizon (F)=720, Evaluation Protocol=Zero-Shot2025.09 | 0.591 | — | |
| AutoformerEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.587 | |
| AutoformerEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.823 | |
| Lag-LlamaEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.42 | |
| Lag-LlamaEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.66 | |
| MomentEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.718 | |
| MomentEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.729 | |
| PatchTSTEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.374 | |
| PatchTSTEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.629 | |
| SymTimeEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.356 | |
| TimeBlocksEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.348 | |
| TimeBlocksEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=StreamCore 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.342 | |
| TimeBlocksEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.344 | |
| TimeMixerEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.381 | |
| TimeMixerEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.585 | |
| TimesNetEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.406 | |
| TimesNetEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.738 | |
| TTMEvaluation Protocol=Continual Forecasting, Coreset Strategy=Random 5%, Calibration Steps=102026.06 | — | 0.44 | |
| TTMEvaluation Protocol=Inference-time (no fine-tuning), Prediction Horizons=96, 192, 336, 7202026.06 | — | 0.545 |