Forecasting on COVID19 benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Forecasting on COVID19

0.171MAEChronos (Bolt)

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
Chronos (Bolt)2025.06		0.171	17.2	0.038	0.177
Chronos (Bolt)2025.06		0.178	17.8	0.041	0.18
Chronos (Bolt)2025.06		0.178	17.9	0.041	0.178
TimesFM2025.06		0.178	17.8	0.04	0.177
TimesFM2025.06		0.179	17.9	0.04	0.174
ChronosX2025.06		0.204	20.5	0.054	0.202
TimesFM2025.06		0.207	20.7	0.048	0.213
TimesFM2025.06		0.207	20.8	0.052	0.204
Chronos (Bolt)2025.06		0.21	21.2	0.052	0.205
TFT2025.06		0.229	22.9	0.061	0.225
NBEATSx2025.06		0.259	25.7	0.092	0.267
TTM2025.06		0.267	26.6	0.082	0.325
DeepAR2025.06		0.271	27.7	0.078	0.258
Moirai2025.06		0.277	27.2	0.104	0.27
TabPFN-TS2025.06		0.313	31.1	0.142	0.291
TimeXer2025.06		0.319	31.5	0.131	0.323
PatchTST2026.05		0.362	—	0.839	—
WPMixer2026.05		0.363	—	0.839	—
DPRNet2026.05		0.366	—	0.804	—
iTransformer2026.05		0.379	—	0.902	—
TiDE2025.06		0.388	39.4	0.146	0.367
TimeFilter2026.05		0.394	—	0.908	—
TimeMixer2026.05		0.401	—	0.93	—
PatchTST2025.06		0.444	45.8	0.191	0.414
Crossformer2026.05		0.476	—	1.401	—
TimesNet2026.05		0.538	—	1.067	—
Informer2026.05		0.632	—	1.917	—
Time-MoE2025.06		0.804	80.4	0.564	0.75
Time-MoE2025.06		0.834	84.3	0.594	0.785