ResearchBenchmarksEpidemic Forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox medium-term (test)Follow73.58SMAPEGCEN73.48674.120574.75575.3895Mar 7, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksSMAPEMAERMSEMASERMSSEPinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)CRPSWinkler ScoreGCENModel Type=ST-Engressi...Model Type=ST-Engression Models2026.0373.5815.3226.60.790.836.894.830.650.4912.9318.03LSTMModel Type=Temporal Mo...Model Type=Temporal Models2026.0375.9316.5626.760.860.847.136.550.70.5716.56—