ResearchBenchmarksEpidemic Forecasting on Hungary Chickenpox 13-week horizonFollow83.83SMAPEMVEN83.712884.503985.29586.0861Mar 7, 2026Evaluation ResultsMethodMethodLinksSMAPEMAERMSEMASERMSSEPinball Loss (Quantile 0.80)Pinball Loss (Quantile 0.95)Risk Score (Quantile 0.50)Risk Score (Quantile 0.90)CRPSWinkler ScoreMVENModel Category=ST-Engr...Model Category=ST-Engression Models (Proposed), Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.0383.8313.7323.290.710.725.73.320.710.4410.72184.34LSTMModel Category=Tempora...Model Category=Temporal Models, Forecast Horizon=13-week2026.0386.7612.9723.030.670.736.786.920.660.6912.97—