Empirical Coverage Estimation on RiverSwim (T=50, 90% coverage) benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

Empirical Coverage Estimation on RiverSwim (T=50, 90% coverage)

91.3Q* (1, 0)Model-based bootstrap

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		91.3	91.7	93.5	91.3	91.3	91.7	91.9	91.8	92.2
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		87.4	88.3	90.7	87.4	87.7	88.3	89.7	89.6	90.2
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		84.3	84.9	86.5	84.3	84.8	84.9	86	85.2	85.8
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		83.5	84.2	85.4	83.5	83.3	84.2	82.7	81.7	84.7
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		64.8	64.9	46.6	64.8	65.1	64.9	65.2	65.1	52
Plug-in (CLT) CI2026.05		47.8	83.9	88	47.8	82.1	83.9	87	87.5	88
Plug-in (CLT) CI2026.05		46.9	81.8	85.3	46.9	75.2	81.8	83.2	83.5	82.3
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		45.3	71.8	80.6	45.3	59.9	69.4	76.3	80.3	80.9
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		44.9	77.7	84.4	44.9	65.5	76.2	82.8	85.5	86.1
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		43.4	43.8	22.5	43.4	43.2	43.8	43	42.8	29.3
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		42.8	75.4	80.3	42.8	63.6	74.2	80	80.6	81.9
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		42.1	41.8	25.1	42.1	41.9	41.8	42.1	41.5	30.3
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		41.6	66.8	72	41.6	56.2	65.2	70.1	73.6	73.3
Plug-in (CLT) CI2026.05		34.9	49	48.4	34.9	44	49	49.5	47.7	46.8
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		33.3	47.6	48.7	33.3	42.2	47.4	45.3	46.8	46.1
Plug-in (CLT) CI2026.05		23.1	30	29.6	23.1	28.8	29.9	30.2	29.5	29.4
Model-based bootstrap2026.05		23	63.3	29.8	23	53.1	65	30	29.5	27.8
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		15.9	25.1	36.9	15.9	22.5	24.7	21.3	22.5	29
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Episodic bootstrap2026.05		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0