Disease Trajectory Prediction on Real-world Health System held-out (val)
0.871Median AUCDT-Transformer
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DT-TransformerHorizon=Next-event2026.05 | 0.871 | 0.837 | — | 0.214 | |
| DT-TransformerHorizon=0.5 yr2026.05 | 0.788 | 0.735 | — | 0.135 | |
| DT-TransformerHorizon=1 yr2026.05 | 0.767 | 0.71 | — | 0.115 | |
| DT-TransformerHorizon=2 yr2026.05 | 0.733 | 0.671 | — | 0.079 | |
| DT-TransformerHorizon=3 yr2026.05 | 0.706 | 0.642 | — | 0.056 | |
| age-sex baselineHorizon=Next-event2026.05 | — | — | 0.657 | — | |
| age-sex baselineHorizon=0.5 yr2026.05 | — | — | 0.654 | — | |
| age-sex baselineHorizon=1 yr2026.05 | — | — | 0.652 | — | |
| age-sex baselineHorizon=2 yr2026.05 | — | — | 0.654 | — | |
| age-sex baselineHorizon=3 yr2026.05 | — | — | 0.65 | — |