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Directional Influence Estimation on Counterfactual Influence Traces (ΔNLL > 0.05 threshold, val)

39.3A-to-B Ratecounterfactual influence test
22.97227.21131.4535.689May 18, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
counterfactual influence testCheckpoint=Checkpoint 3, Substantive threshold (ΔNLL)=> 0.05, Number of random seeds=5, Sampled traces per checkpoint-seed pair=5002026.0539.30.0486.90.018
counterfactual influence testCheckpoint=Checkpoint 2, Substantive threshold (ΔNLL)=> 0.05, Number of random seeds=5, Sampled traces per checkpoint-seed pair=5002026.05390.04870.017
counterfactual influence testCheckpoint=Checkpoint 1, Substantive threshold (ΔNLL)=> 0.05, Number of random seeds=5, Sampled traces per checkpoint-seed pair=5002026.0523.60.0342.30.011