CPC Forecasting on CPC dataset 6-week horizon
27.14sMAPE (%)Chronos-2
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronos-2Model Family=Covariate-Augmented TSFMs, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Geographic intent covariates2026.03 | 27.14 | 0.841 | |
| TimeGPTModel Family=Covariate-Augmented TSFMs, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Calendar conditioning + growth clamp2026.03 | 29.29 | 1.002 | |
| MoiraiModel Family=Covariate-Augmented TSFMs, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Leakage-free lags + calendar stabilization2026.03 | 30.14 | 1 | |
| DCRNNModel Family=Spatiotemporal GNNs Relational Priors, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Semantic graph + geo + semantic CPC2026.03 | 30.42 | 1 | |
| GraphWaveNetModel Family=Spatiotemporal GNNs Relational Priors, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Semantic graph + search mix2026.03 | 30.57 | 1.005 | |
| GConvLSTMModel Family=Spatiotemporal GNNs Relational Priors, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Semantic graph + continent geography2026.03 | 30.69 | 1.001 | |
| TabPFN (1-shot)Model Family=Statistical & ML Baselines, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Core operational features2026.03 | 35.04 | 1.25 | |
| XGBoostModel Family=Statistical & ML Baselines, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Core operational features2026.03 | 36.64 | 1.301 | |
| SARIMAXModel Family=Statistical & ML Baselines, Best Competition-Aware Setup=Univariate lags2026.03 | 43.93 | 1.66 |