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Counterfactual Reasoning on SCM battery 300 random models per query

0.18Mean Error (PN)diagonal-only (indep. SCM)
0.06720.82861.592.3514Jun 9, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
diagonal-only (indep. SCM)reports the class?=no (single point)2026.060.18——27—
predictor (LLM)reports the class?=no (point, often infeasible)2026.060.2328———
full kernel (oracle coupling)reports the class?=yes2026.063———0
full kernel (interval)reports the class?=yes (identified set)2026.06——100—100