Causal Inference on IHDP (d_TV, d_KS)
0.239d_TV (Total Variation Distance)CausalPFN (T = 1.0) Naïve plug-in
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| CausalPFN (T = 1.0) Naïve plug-inmu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 1.0), pi model=—, ATE estimator=Naïve plug-in2026.03 | 0.239 | 0.14 | |
| CausalPFN (T = 0.5) Naïve plug-inmu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 0.5), pi model=—, ATE estimator=Naïve plug-in2026.03 | 0.271 | 0.1 | |
| TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25) MP-OSPCmu_a model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25), pi model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25), ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.271 | 0.06 | |
| TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25) MP-plug-inmu_a model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25), pi model=—, ATE estimator=MP-plug-in2026.03 | 0.279 | 0.08 | |
| TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5) MP-plug-inmu_a model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5), pi model=—, ATE estimator=MP-plug-in2026.03 | 0.281 | 0.04 | |
| CausalPFN (T = 1.0) MP-OSPC (TabPFN+copula ρ=0.25)mu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 1.0), pi model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.25), ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.303 | 0.13 | |
| CausalPFN (T = 1.0) MP-OSPC (TabPFN+copula ρ=0.5)mu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 1.0), pi model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5), ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.311 | 0.14 | |
| TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5) MP-OSPCmu_a model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5), pi model=TabPFN+copula (smooth; ρ = 0.5), ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.314 | 0.07 | |
| CausalPFN (T = 1.0) MP-OSPC (TabPFN-only)mu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 1.0), pi model=TabPFN-only, ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.319 | 0.09 | |
| TabPFN-only MP-plug-inmu_a model=TabPFN-only, pi model=—, ATE estimator=MP-plug-in2026.03 | 0.332 | 0.08 | |
| CausalPFN (T = 0.1) Naïve plug-inmu_a model=CausalPFN (T = 0.1), pi model=—, ATE estimator=Naïve plug-in2026.03 | 0.359 | 0.06 | |
| TabPFN-only MP-OSPCmu_a model=TabPFN-only, pi model=TabPFN-only, ATE estimator=MP-OSPC2026.03 | 0.43 | 0.09 |