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Calibration on QA datasets Aggregated models

0.073ECE2Supervised Platt scaling (Sup.)
0.057720.160860.2640.36714Apr 21, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
Supervised Platt scaling (Sup.)2026.040.0730.211
Unsupervised Confidence CalibrationEmbeddings=Internal2026.040.0970.208
Unsupervised Confidence CalibrationEmbeddings=External (Black-Box)2026.040.0970.21
Test-time self-consistency (TT SC)2026.040.1180.194
Token Probs. (TP)2026.040.3150.315
Verbalized Confidence (VC)2026.040.4210.41
Answer Probs. (Ans. TP)2026.040.4550.447