Betting on Prediction Markets (test)
0.0838Delta SQwen 3 235B
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen 3 235B2026.07 | 0.0838 | -13.3 | -5.3 | -14.8 | 12.2 | -9.3 | -99.9 | |
| DeepSeek R12026.07 | 0.0636 | -20.3 | -7.6 | -25.4 | 0.7 | -9.6 | -99.9 | |
| Minimax M22026.07 | 0.0537 | 1.3 | -4 | -22.8 | -6.5 | -3.9 | -99.9 | |
| Kimi K2 Thinking2026.07 | 0.0492 | -9.5 | -3.1 | -24.3 | 1.5 | -2.5 | -99.9 | |
| DeepSeek V3.22026.07 | 0.0466 | -12.2 | -7.3 | -30.2 | -5.1 | -5.8 | -99.9 | |
| Grok 4.1 Fast2026.07 | 0.0462 | -11.6 | -7.8 | -26.4 | -7 | -6.3 | -99.9 | |
| GPT-5.2 (High)2026.07 | 0.046 | -2.4 | -1.6 | -13.3 | -1.9 | -1 | -99.9 | |
| LLaMA 4 Maverick2026.07 | 0.045 | -13.7 | -4.1 | -15.5 | -4 | -10 | -99.9 | |
| Claude Sonnet 4.52026.07 | 0.0426 | -3.5 | 1.2 | -19.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -99.9 | |
| GPT-5.2 (Base)2026.07 | 0.0347 | 4.5 | 2.4 | -14.9 | 1.9 | -0.1 | -99.9 | |
| Claude Opus 4.62026.07 | 0.0016 | 22.1 | 5 | -14 | -3.5 | 10.9 | -99.9 | |
| Gemini 32026.07 | 0.0008 | 8.1 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | -42.7 |