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Bayesian Recursive Parameter Calibration on Synthetic Sudden(3) scenario

0.018RMSE (θ)B-BRPC-RRA
0.01160.05480.0980.1412May 7, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
B-BRPC-RRARestart Strategy=B, Type=Refitting Residual Representation2026.050.0180.0280.5120.3163.0593.857
B-BRPC-ERestart Strategy=B, Support=expanding2026.050.0260.0290.6070.410.28732.02
B-BRPC-FRestart Strategy=B, Support=fixed2026.050.0260.0290.6090.40110.32230.414
C-BRPC-PRestart Strategy=C, Support=proxy-observation2026.050.0260.0270.5770.3672.78427
C-BRPC-ERestart Strategy=C, Support=expanding2026.050.0270.0270.6710.4453.70616.051
C-BRPC-FRestart Strategy=C, Support=fixed2026.050.0270.0270.6730.4463.74613.858
B-BRPC-PRestart Strategy=B, Support=proxy-observation2026.050.0280.0340.590.3754.05473.6
BRPC-FRestart Strategy=None, Support=fixed2026.050.040.0311.1920.791—12.847
BRPC-PRestart Strategy=None, Support=proxy-observation2026.050.0410.0310.8670.515—59.71
DA(EnKF)Assimilator=EnKF2026.050.160.090.9820.6—0.189
DA(WaldPF)Assimilator=WaldPF2026.050.1780.111.9941.157—1.16