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Avoiding Undesired Future (AUF) on Bermuda

70.6Success ProbabilityCARE
20.26433.33246.459.468May 6, 2026May 7, 2026May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Evaluation results

MethodLinks
CARE2026.0570.6
Non-Parametric Rehearsal Learning2026.0570.2
QWZ232026.0567.6
Grad-Rh2026.0567.4
Grad-Rh (true graph)Graph source=True graph, Sample size=10002026.0566.9
QWZ23 (true graph)Graph source=True graph, Sample size=10002026.0566.9
OLEM-RhGraph source=Learned from data, Sample size=10002026.0566.8
Grad-Rh w/OLEM+prunGraph source=Learned from data, Graph learning algorithm=OLEM+prun, Sample size=10002026.0566.8
OLEM-Rh w/CaPSGraph source=Learned from data, Order-learning component=CaPS, Sample size=10002026.0566.8
MICNS2026.0566.8
Grad-Rh w/CaPSGraph source=Learned from data, Graph learning algorithm=CaPS, Sample size=10002026.0557.5
Grad-Rh w/NOTEARSGraph source=Learned from data, Graph learning algorithm=NOTEARS, Sample size=10002026.0532.2
Grad-Rh w/GESGraph source=Learned from data, Graph learning algorithm=GES, Sample size=10002026.0527.9
Baseline (No action)action=none2026.0522.2