24-hour ahead probabilistic forecasting on NYISO 2018–2024 benchmark leaderboard · SOTA2 Research

24-hour ahead probabilistic forecasting on NYISO 2018–2024

0.1281MSEUG-WIAE-GPF

Evaluation Results

Method	Links
UG-WIAE-GPF2026.03		0.1281	0.255	0.0119	0.028	0.2515	0.022
WIAE-GPF2026.03		0.3508	0.3835	0.022	0.0399	0.3958	0.399
GRU2026.03		0.4124	0.4245	0.0092	0.0126	1.1081	0.0644
PatchTST2026.03		1.7508	1.0866	0.0387	0.032	3.3637	0.1648
NBEATS2026.03		2.3578	0.9501	0.0521	0.028	2.4569	0.1441
NHITS2026.03		2.7831	1.0988	0.0615	0.0324	2.9154	0.1666
RNN2026.03		3.6939	1.6508	0.0827	0.0488	4.64	0.2503
LSTM2026.03		4.2307	1.818	0.0947	0.0538	5.1167	0.2757
DilatedRNN2026.03		6.1914	1.7639	0.1386	0.0522	4.8401	0.2675
TimesNet2026.03		6.3864	1.9325	0.143	0.0571	5.437	0.293
TimeMixer2026.03		9.1532	1.8871	0.2024	0.0556	4.9194	0.2862
MLP2026.03		14.3665	2.6669	0.3176	0.0785	7.1342	0.4044
TFT2026.03		23.4326	3.4796	0.5181	0.1025	9.1168	0.5277
NLinear2026.03		45.3496	4.9876	1.0156	0.1475	13.9908	0.7563
StemGNN2026.03		54.2191	5.6601	1.2142	0.1674	15.8152	0.8583
DeepAR2026.03		452.31	20.176	10	0.5941	57.887	3.0595