2-meter temperature forecasting on India 2024-2025 (test)
0.442CRPS (12h)VT-MOS + U-Net
Evaluation results
| Method | Links | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT-MOS + U-Net2026.06 | 0.442 | 0.495 | 0.495 | 0.521 | 0.523 | 0.543 | 0.503 | |
| VT-MOS2026.06 | 0.451 | 0.51 | 0.506 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.556 | 0.515 | |
| VT-MOS + MoWE2026.06 | 0.452 | 0.511 | 0.505 | 0.534 | 0.533 | 0.556 | 0.515 | |
| Vovk-AA2026.06 | 0.465 | 0.524 | 0.534 | 0.554 | 0.566 | 0.578 | 0.537 | |
| FCN3Type=Individual expert2026.06 | 0.474 | 0.558 | 0.575 | 0.614 | 0.627 | 0.652 | 0.583 | |
| U-Netstatus=offline2026.06 | 0.525 | 0.539 | 0.526 | 0.547 | 0.546 | 0.563 | 0.541 | |
| MoWE2026.06 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.54 | 0.562 | 0.559 | 0.579 | 0.557 | |
| FEMType=Individual expert2026.06 | 0.623 | 0.628 | 0.592 | 0.616 | 0.604 | 0.629 | 0.615 | |
| Equal Weight2026.06 | 0.679 | 0.712 | 0.681 | 0.711 | 0.694 | 0.718 | 0.699 | |
| FGNType=Individual expert2026.06 | 1.061 | 1.018 | 1.005 | 1 | 1.005 | 1 | 1.015 | |
| GenCastType=Individual expert2026.06 | 1.095 | 1.02 | 1.041 | 0.99 | 1.025 | 0.982 | 1.026 | |
| IFS-ENSType=Individual expert2026.06 | 1.192 | 1.202 | 1.185 | 1.201 | 1.183 | 1.197 | 1.193 |