Self-Supervised Tree-level Biomass Estimation in Urban Environments From Airborne LiDAR and Optical Observations
About
Urban tree biomass remains less spatially explicitly quantified than biomass in managed forests because many estimates rely on inventories or coarse products that cannot resolve individual crowns or fine-scale heterogeneity. We present a crown-level above-ground biomass (AGB) framework for an 810~km$^2$ landscape in Ontario, Canada, using leaf-off airborne LiDAR (8--10~pulses~m$^{-2}$) and near-infrared RGB orthophotography (0.16--0.20~m) from 2018 and 2023. A dual-stream cross-attention network trained on rule-based pseudo-labels produced semantic marks for buildings, needleleaf trees, and deciduous trees, supporting crown delineation and functional-type assignment. On independently annotated withheld tiles, global/mean precision, recall, and Dice scores were 0.86, 0.83, and 0.84. Crowns were delineated with multiscale watershed segmentation in mapped tree areas, and AGB was estimated from a crown area--height power-law proxy calibrated to species-specific allometry (Lambert et al., 2005) for 21,921 inventory trees. For 18,713 inventory--segment matched pairs from a 90,726-tree held-out test set, AGB prediction achieved $R^2=0.609$ using inventory crown geometry and $R^2=0.570$ under operational segmentation, identifying crown delineation as the remaining uncertainty source. Aggregated to 30~m, estimates yielded total AGB stocks of 1.73~Tg in 2018 and 1.81~Tg in 2023 (811--850~Gg~C), local densities up to ${\sim}140$~Mg~ha$^{-1}$ along the Niagara Escarpment, and a net carbon gain of 39~Gg~C over five years. Deep-ensemble uncertainty maps highlighted high-epistemic-uncertainty areas linked to underrepresented land covers and guided assignment of uncertain crowns to a pooled allometric equation. The framework uses standard provincial data, requires no manual annotation, and produces a public bitemporal crown-level AGB database for trees outside forests at management-relevant resolution.