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Papers Benchmarks Datasets Tasks

Forecasting research benchmarks – Page 12 · SOTA2 Research

Forecasting

Benchmarks

Dataset NameSOTA MethodSort

Dataset NameSOTA methodMetricTrendResultsLast Updated

107.554MSE

3

May 12, 2026

0.259MSE

3

May 12, 2026

0.01MSE

3

May 12, 2026

1.016MSE

3

May 12, 2026

Poverty Rate US Postal Code level (future time periods (two years))

TimesFM (t-1) + PDFM Embedding

25.77MAPE

3

Apr 7, 2026

Unemployment Rate US County level (future time periods (six months))

TimesFM (t-1) + PDFM Embedding

11.32MAPE

3

Apr 7, 2026

ODE-governed pendulum dynamics (OOD)

2.24nMSE

3

Mar 4, 2026

109RMSE

3

Feb 27, 2026

LargeST CA (test)

12.68WAPE

3

Feb 26, 2026

LargeST GLA (test)

11WAPE

3

Feb 26, 2026

LargeST GBA (test)

11.48WAPE

3

Feb 26, 2026

LargeST SD (test)

12.25WAPE (%)

3

Feb 26, 2026

Private Dataset (Public User) (test)

0.3MSE

3

Feb 26, 2026

Private Dataset Solar Generation (test)

0.276MAE

3

Feb 26, 2026

0.364MSE

3

Feb 26, 2026

0.499MSE

3

Feb 26, 2026

SEVIR Tornado subset

0.037CRPS

2

Jun 1, 2026

0.006MSE

2

May 7, 2026

Small PPICU baseline

0.62Performance Score

2

Mar 26, 2026

Forecasting Dataset 2023

-0.281DM Statistic

2

Mar 4, 2026

Forecasting Dataset 2022

2.257DM Statistic

2

Mar 4, 2026

Forecasting Dataset 2021

-0.999DM Statistic

2

Mar 4, 2026

Custom Forecasting Question Set

0.132Brier Score

2

Feb 26, 2026

PatchTST + LIFT

0.285MSE

2

Feb 26, 2026

Frontex Illegal Border-Crossings Western African Route (32 val periods)

forecasting methodology

0.96Explained Variance

1

Feb 26, 2026

Page 12 of 13

Popular datasets

TFB ED Admissions GIFT-Eval Weather M5

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