# Value at Risk (VaR) prediction on Japan stock market

Source: [Value at Risk (VaR) prediction on Japan stock market](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/value-at-risk-var-prediction-on-japan-stock-market>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-04T12:22:58.886Z

Evaluation of models performing Value at Risk (VaR) prediction on the Japan stock market dataset, assessed using the Pass rate metric.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Value at Risk (VaR) prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Japan stock market |
| Metric | Pass Rate |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 11 of 11 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Pass Rate](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/value-at-risk-var-prediction-on-japan-stock-market.md?metric=Pass%20Rate>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Pass Rate | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ReSGA | 89.97 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| GRU | 87.35 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| LSTM | 85.22 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| Informer | 77.46 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| LANN | 75.44 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| EInformer | 73.34 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| DLinear | 71.68 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| DInformer | 70.27 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| SGA | 69.26 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| NN | 67.98 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |
| Linear | 61.4 | Not recorded | 6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728 |

### ReSGA

Pass Rate: 89.97. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e873b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Spatial-temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GRU

Pass Rate: 87.35. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8736.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5331.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/jych/librnn.git>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSTM

Pass Rate: 85.22. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8735.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

Pass Rate: 77.46. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8737.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LANN

Pass Rate: 75.44. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8733.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EInformer

Pass Rate: 73.34. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8738.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DLinear

Pass Rate: 71.68. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8734.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d3e1e209131cea38b79.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/cure-lab/LTSF-Linear>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DInformer

Pass Rate: 70.27. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8739.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72eb1e209131cea59376.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SGA

Pass Rate: 69.26. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e873a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Spatial-temporal Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### NN

Pass Rate: 67.98. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8732.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Point-wise Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Linear

Pass Rate: 61.4. Result ID: 6a216e08fbc373592c1e8731.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a2106fdc10484bac23f0728.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Category":"Point-wise Models","Significance level (alpha)":"0.05","Statistical Test":"CC"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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