# Univariate Time Series Forecasting on M4 Source: [Univariate Time Series Forecasting on M4]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-05-27T08:28:51.686Z Evaluation of models performing Univariate Time Series Forecasting on the M4 dataset, measured using SMAPE, MASE, and OWA. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Univariate Time Series Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | M4 | | Metric | SMAPE | | Unit | PERCENT | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 22 of 22 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [SMAPE](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MASE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [sMAPE (Yearly)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [sMAPE (Quarterly)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [sMAPE (Monthly)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [sMAPE (Others)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [sMAPE (Average)](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. - [MASE (Yearly)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MASE (Quarterly)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MASE (Monthly)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MASE (Others)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MASE (Average)](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA (Yearly)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA (Quarterly)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA (Monthly)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA (Others)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. - [OWA (Average)](): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | SMAPE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Koopa | 11.863 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | TimeMixer | 11.88 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | N-BEATS | 11.91 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | TimesNet | 11.93 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | N-HiTS | 11.96 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | TSCOMP | 12.004 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | KNF | 12.126 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | TimeXer | 12.289 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | PAttn | 12.367 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | DLinear | 12.418 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | FiLM | 12.489 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | RAFT | 12.784 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | iTransformer | 12.793 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | DUET | 12.816 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | | PatchTST | 13.022 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | MICN | 13.023 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | Autoformer | 14.057 | Not recorded | 68fa70e51e209131cea4dbd8 | | OLinear | 21.972 | Not recorded | 6a167ab2dbd7150506f8013e | ### Koopa SMAPE: 11.863. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa84. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimeMixer SMAPE: 11.88. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc44. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### N-BEATS SMAPE: 11.91. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa86. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimesNet SMAPE: 11.93. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa88. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### N-HiTS SMAPE: 11.96. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa85. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TSCOMP SMAPE: 12.004. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc40. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### KNF SMAPE: 12.126. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa8b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### TimeXer SMAPE: 12.289. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc45. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PAttn SMAPE: 12.367. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc46. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DLinear SMAPE: 12.418. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa89. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM SMAPE: 12.489. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa8c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### RAFT SMAPE: 12.784. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc42. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### iTransformer SMAPE: 12.793. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc47. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### DUET SMAPE: 12.816. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc43. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchTST SMAPE: 13.022. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa87. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### MICN SMAPE: 13.023. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa8a. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer SMAPE: 14.057. Result ID: 69915e3f3a6c31484907aa8d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### OLinear SMAPE: 21.972. Result ID: 6a16ab3cfbc373592c0fcc41. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Sampling":"Averaged across diverse sampling intervals"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.