# Univariate Long-term Forecasting on Traffic

Source: [Univariate Long-term Forecasting on Traffic](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-traffic>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:39.715Z

Evaluation of models performing univariate long-term time series forecasting on the Traffic dataset, typically assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Univariate long-term forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Traffic |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 28 of 28 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-traffic.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-traffic.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FiLM | 0.11 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.131 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.207 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.237 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.241 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.277 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.298 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.3 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.327 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.344 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.362 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.426 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.499 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.509 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.552 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 0.591 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.738 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.777 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.811 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 1.162 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 1.183 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 1.203 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 1.26 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 1.367 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 1.832 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 1.872 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 2.018 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 2.405 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |

### FiLM

MSE: 0.11. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab50c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.131. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab510.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.207. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab50d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.237. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab520.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.241. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab514.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.277. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab511.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.298. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab524.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.3. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab515.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.327. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab50e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.344. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab518.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.362. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab519.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.426. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab512.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.499. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.509. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab516.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.552. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.591. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.738. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab521.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.777. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab525.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.811. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab50f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 1.162. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab513.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 1.183. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 1.203. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab527.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 1.26. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab517.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 1.367. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 1.832. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab526.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 1.872. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab51f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 2.018. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab522.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 2.405. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab523.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
