# Univariate long-term forecasting on ILI Source: [Univariate long-term forecasting on ILI]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:39.779Z Evaluation of models performing univariate long-term time series forecasting on the ILI dataset, typically measured using MSE and MAE. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Univariate long-term forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | ILI | | Metric | MSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 28 of 28 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FiLM | 0.444 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.554 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.557 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.622 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.629 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.634 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.641 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.693 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.699 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.791 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.813 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.828 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.866 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.874 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.931 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.948 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 2.407 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 2.934 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 3.106 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 3.607 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 3.698 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 3.754 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 3.838 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 4.162 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 4.273 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 4.554 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 5.214 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 5.282 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | ### FiLM MSE: 0.444. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.554. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab581. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.557. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.622. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab589. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.629. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.634. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab585. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.641. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.693. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab580. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.699. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab582. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.791. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab586. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.813. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58a. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.828. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab583. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.866. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab588. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.874. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab587. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.931. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.948. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab584. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 2.407. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab591. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 2.934. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab595. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 3.106. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab592. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 3.607. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab590. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 3.698. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab593. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 3.754. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab596. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 3.838. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab594. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 4.162. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab597. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 4.273. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":48}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 4.554. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":36}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 5.214. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":60}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 5.282. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab58c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":24}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.