# Univariate long-term forecasting on ETTm2

Source: [Univariate long-term forecasting on ETTm2](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:39.763Z

Evaluation of models performing univariate long-term time series forecasting on the ETTm2 dataset, typically measured using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Univariate long-term forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ETTm2 |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 28 of 28 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/univariate-long-term-forecasting-on-ettm2.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| FEDformer | 0.063 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.065 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.065 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.075 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.076 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 0.088 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.094 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.102 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.118 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.124 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.129 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.13 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 0.132 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.132 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.153 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.154 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.154 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| LogTrans | 0.16 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.16 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Reformer | 0.168 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FiLM | 0.173 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| FEDformer | 0.178 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 0.18 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Autoformer | 0.182 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.183 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.204 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| Informer | 0.3 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |
| S4 | 0.482 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 |

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.063. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab564.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.065. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab560.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.065. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab568.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.075. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab574.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.076. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab578.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.088. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab570.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.094. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab561.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.102. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab565.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.118. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab569.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.124. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab562.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.129. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab575.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.13. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab566.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.132. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab571.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.132. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab579.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.153. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.154. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.154. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab576.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LogTrans

MSE: 0.16. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab577.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66e71e209131cea1309f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.16. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Reformer

MSE: 0.168. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab57b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa671b1e209131cea143ed.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/google/trax/tree/master/trax/models/reformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FiLM

MSE: 0.173. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab563.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/tianzhou2011/FiLM/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FEDformer

MSE: 0.178. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab567.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6cbf1e209131cea35c29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.18. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab572.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Autoformer

MSE: 0.182. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b9a1e209131cea2f3a3.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/thuml/Autoformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.183. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.204. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Informer

MSE: 0.3. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab573.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa699f1e209131cea23263.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/Informer2020>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### S4

MSE: 0.482. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab56f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d721e209131cea39f53.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d341e209131cea38604.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/HazyResearch/state-spaces>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.