# Univariate long-term forecasting on Electricity Source: [Univariate long-term forecasting on Electricity]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:50:39.747Z Evaluation of models performing univariate long-term time series forecasting on the Electricity dataset, assessed using Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Univariate long-term forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | Electricity | | Metric | MSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 28 of 28 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [MSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. ## Recorded results | Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FiLM | 0.154 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.166 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.188 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FiLM | 0.249 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.253 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 0.274 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.282 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 0.288 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 0.304 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.341 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.345 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.346 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.351 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 0.37 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.373 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.406 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.408 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | FEDformer | 0.422 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 0.43 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 0.432 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Reformer | 0.46 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | S4 | 0.472 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 0.484 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | LogTrans | 0.491 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 0.557 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Autoformer | 0.565 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 0.636 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | | Informer | 0.819 | Not recorded | 68fa6d721e209131cea39f53 | ### FiLM MSE: 0.154. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab544. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.166. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab545. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.188. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab546. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FiLM MSE: 0.249. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab547. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.253. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab548. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 0.274. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.282. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab549. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 0.288. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab558. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 0.304. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.341. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54c. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.345. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54d. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.346. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54a. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.351. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab550. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 0.37. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.373. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab551. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.406. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.408. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab552. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### FEDformer MSE: 0.422. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 0.43. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55a. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 0.432. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab559. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Reformer MSE: 0.46. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### S4 MSE: 0.472. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab553. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 0.484. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab554. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":96}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### LogTrans MSE: 0.491. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab55b. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 0.557. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab555. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":192}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Autoformer MSE: 0.565. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab54f. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 0.636. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab556. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":336}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Informer MSE: 0.819. Result ID: 698fa2953a6c314849fab557. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":720}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.