# Trajectory Prediction on Stanford Drone (test)

Source: [Trajectory Prediction on Stanford Drone (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T06:11:05.177Z

Evaluation of trajectory prediction models on the test split of the Stanford Drone dataset, utilizing time-specific error metrics (Error at 1.0s, 2.0s, etc.) and CLL.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Trajectory Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Stanford Drone (test) |
| Metric | minADE (20) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 43 of 43 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [minADE (20)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=minADE%20(20)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Error (1.0s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=Error%20(1.0s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Error (2.0s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=Error%20(2.0s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Error (3.0s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=Error%20(3.0s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Error (4.0s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=Error%20(4.0s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [CLL](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=CLL>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [minFDE (20)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=minFDE%20(20)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=ADE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-stanford-drone-test.md?metric=FDE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | minADE (20) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MemoNet | 8.56 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| MANTRA | 8.96 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| PECNet | 9.96 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| SimAug\* | 10.27 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| SimAug | 12.03 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| P2TIRL | 12.58 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| CF-VAE | 12.6 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| EvolveGraph | 13.9 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| IDL | 13.93 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| NMMP | 14.67 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| Multiverse | 14.78 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| SoPhie | 16.27 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| SOPHIE | 16.27 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| DESIRE | 19.25 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| Trajectron++ | 19.3 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| Social STGCNN | 20.6 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| Social-GAN | 27.23 | Not recorded | 68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d |
| Social-GAN | 27.25 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |
| Social-LSTM | 31.19 | Not recorded | 68fa67f11e209131cea1942c |

### MemoNet

minADE (20): 8.56. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03ef4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/MediaBrain-SJTU/MemoNet>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MANTRA

minADE (20): 8.96. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03ef2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a0c1e209131cea25be9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PECNet

minADE (20): 9.96. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03ef3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://karttikeya.github.io/publication/htf/>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SimAug\*

minADE (20): 10.27. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207b01.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Implementation](<https://next.cs.cmu.edu/simaug>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"fine-tuned on real training videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SimAug

minADE (20): 12.03. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207b00.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Implementation](<https://next.cs.cmu.edu/simaug>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"simulation only"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### P2TIRL

minADE (20): 12.58. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207aff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa69d81e209131cea248e9.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/nachiket92/P2T>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CF-VAE

minADE (20): 12.6. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03ef1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa68281e209131cea1a5c4.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EvolveGraph

minADE (20): 13.9. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03ef0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa68a11e209131cea1d3cb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### IDL

minADE (20): 13.93. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207afe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### NMMP

minADE (20): 14.67. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03eef.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67341e209131cea14b3a.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Multiverse

minADE (20): 14.78. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207afd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa673c1e209131cea1515b.md>)

[Implementation](<https://next.cs.cmu.edu/multiverse>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SoPhie

minADE (20): 16.27. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207afc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64d81e209131cea06a88.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SOPHIE

minADE (20): 16.27. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03eee.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64d81e209131cea06a88.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DESIRE

minADE (20): 19.25. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207afb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa634e1e209131ce9fdef5.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Trajectron++

minADE (20): 19.3. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03eed.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social STGCNN

minADE (20): 20.6. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03eec.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67cb1e209131cea1871b.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/abduallahmohamed/Social-STGCNN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social-GAN

minADE (20): 27.23. Result ID: 698ebd84ffc3901de0a03eeb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6c0d1e209131cea31b3d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64301e209131cea034f1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Time":"4.8s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social-GAN

minADE (20): 27.25. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207afa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64301e209131cea034f1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social-LSTM

minADE (20): 31.19. Result ID: 698d4d1a8b517eb433207af9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa67f11e209131cea1942c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"training\_data":"real videos"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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