# Trajectory Prediction on nuScenes (test)

Source: [Trajectory Prediction on nuScenes (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:52:50.875Z

Evaluation of trajectory prediction models on the test split of the nuScenes dataset, typically assessed using Best of N prediction metrics and Kernel Density Estimation Negative Log-Likelihood (KDE NLL) across various prediction horizons.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Trajectory Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | nuScenes (test) |
| Metric | Min Displacement Error (1s) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 10 of 10 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Min Displacement Error (1s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=Min%20Displacement%20Error%20(1s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Min Displacement Error (2s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=Min%20Displacement%20Error%20(2s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Min Displacement Error (3s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=Min%20Displacement%20Error%20(3s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [KDE NLL (1s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=KDE%20NLL%20(1s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [KDE NLL (2s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=KDE%20NLL%20(2s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [KDE NLL (3s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-nuscenes-test.md?metric=KDE%20NLL%20(3s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Min Displacement Error (1s) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Trajectron++ | 0.01 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Trajectron++ | 0.01 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| β-cVAE | 0.01 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Joint-β-cVAE | 0.01 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Joint-β-cVAE | 0.01 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Social-GAN | 0.04 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Social-GAN | 0.04 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Sophie | 0.04 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| Sophie | 0.04 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |
| cVAE | 0.05 | Not recorded | 68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb |

### Trajectron++

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.01. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af080.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Trajectron++

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.01. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af081.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### β-cVAE

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.01. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af083.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":false,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Joint-β-cVAE

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.01. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af084.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Joint-β-cVAE

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.01. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af085.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social-GAN

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.04. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af07c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64301e209131cea034f1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Social-GAN

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.04. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af07d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64301e209131cea034f1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Sophie

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.04. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af07e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64d81e209131cea06a88.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Sophie

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.04. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af07f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64d81e209131cea06a88.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":true,"P-V interaction modeled":true}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### cVAE

Min Displacement Error (1s): 0.05. Result ID: 698e1ec8ffc3901de09af082.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a381e209131cea26aeb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"P-P interaction modeled":false,"P-V interaction modeled":false}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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