# Trajectory Prediction on NGSIM (ADE/FDE Horizons)

Source: [Trajectory Prediction on NGSIM (ADE/FDE Horizons)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-05-25T08:53:30.172Z

Evaluation of trajectory prediction models on the NGSIM dataset, assessed using Average Displacement Error (ADE) and Final Displacement Error (FDE) across prediction horizons from 1 to 5 seconds, including overall averages.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Trajectory Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | NGSIM |
| Metric | ADE (Avg) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 28 of 28 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [ADE (Avg)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(Avg)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE (1s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(1s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (1s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(1s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE (2s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(2s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (2s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(2s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE (3s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(3s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (3s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(3s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE (4s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(4s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (4s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(4s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [ADE (5s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=ADE%20(5s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (5s)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(5s)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [FDE (Avg)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/trajectory-prediction-on-ngsim-ade-fde-horizons.md?metric=FDE%20(Avg)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | ADE (Avg) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| MAVEN-T (Student) | 0.77 | Not recorded | 69ddca327d0172140ec79b13 |
| C2F-TP | 0.79 | Not recorded | 69ddca327d0172140ec79b13 |
| Lightweight-LSTM | 1.09 | Not recorded | 69ddca327d0172140ec79b13 |
| DistilBERT-Traj | 1.14 | Not recorded | 69ddca327d0172140ec79b13 |
| MobileNet-Traj | 1.23 | Not recorded | 69ddca327d0172140ec79b13 |
| EdgeVTPError | 1.85 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| STA-LSTM | 1.89 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| EdgeVTPTF | 1.89 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| GSTAN | 1.94 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| X-TRAJ | 1.99 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| DeepTrack | 2.01 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| VT-FormerSH | 2.1 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| X-TRACK | 2.11 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| EdgeVTPLat | 2.13 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| VT-FormerMH | 2.24 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| GFTNNv2 | 2.26 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| CS-LSTM | 2.29 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| iNATran | 2.43 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| Pishgu | 2.44 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| VT-FormerLH | 2.53 | Not recorded | 69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d |
| MHA-LSTM | 2.54 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| HSTA | 2.54 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| CS-LSTM | 2.69 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| RA-GAT | 2.7 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| Two Channel | 2.89 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |
| cVMD | 3.02 | Not recorded | 690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb |

### MAVEN-T (Student)

ADE (Avg): 0.77. Result ID: 69ddfe7147f34ce924c57baa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Student","Protocol":"Knowledge Distillation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### C2F-TP

ADE (Avg): 0.79. Result ID: 69ddfe7147f34ce924c57ba9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Student","Protocol":"Knowledge Distillation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Lightweight-LSTM

ADE (Avg): 1.09. Result ID: 69ddfe7147f34ce924c57ba8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Student","Protocol":"Knowledge Distillation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DistilBERT-Traj

ADE (Avg): 1.14. Result ID: 69ddfe7147f34ce924c57ba7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Student","Protocol":"Knowledge Distillation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MobileNet-Traj

ADE (Avg): 1.23. Result ID: 69ddfe7147f34ce924c57ba6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca327d0172140ec79b13.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Model Type":"Student","Protocol":"Knowledge Distillation"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EdgeVTPError

ADE (Avg): 1.85. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4967.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"145.9","E2E (ms)":"4.58"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STA-LSTM

ADE (Avg): 1.89. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4960.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"124","E2E (ms)":"5.01"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EdgeVTPTF

ADE (Avg): 1.89. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4966.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"145.9","E2E (ms)":"4.30"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GSTAN

ADE (Avg): 1.94. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d90.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### X-TRAJ

ADE (Avg): 1.99. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d87.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepTrack

ADE (Avg): 2.01. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4961.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"109"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VT-FormerSH

ADE (Avg): 2.1. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4964.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72fc1e209131cea59c7f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"132","E2E (ms)":"23.69"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### X-TRACK

ADE (Avg): 2.11. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d86.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### EdgeVTPLat

ADE (Avg): 2.13. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4965.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"134.5","E2E (ms)":"3.17"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VT-FormerMH

ADE (Avg): 2.24. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4963.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72fc1e209131cea59c7f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"141","E2E (ms)":"26.86"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GFTNNv2

ADE (Avg): 2.26. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70bb1e209131cea4ce62.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CS-LSTM

ADE (Avg): 2.29. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd495f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64fe1e209131cea07ac6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"191","E2E (ms)":"3.61"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### iNATran

ADE (Avg): 2.43. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Pishgu

ADE (Avg): 2.44. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd495c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6eb41e209131cea41993.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"132","E2E (ms)":"3.50"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VT-FormerLH

ADE (Avg): 2.53. Result ID: 69e730f847f34ce924cd4962.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69e7046e7d0172140ec7eb9d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72fc1e209131cea59c7f.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Params (K)":"155","E2E (ms)":"31.69"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MHA-LSTM

ADE (Avg): 2.54. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HSTA

ADE (Avg): 2.54. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### CS-LSTM

ADE (Avg): 2.69. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d88.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64fe1e209131cea07ac6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### RA-GAT

ADE (Avg): 2.7. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Two Channel

ADE (Avg): 2.89. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d89.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6a5a1e209131cea27aba.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### cVMD

ADE (Avg): 3.02. Result ID: 6a140df0fbc373592c0b5d8f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/690988793ef7ccd74e5e5abb.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa73441e209131cea5b6e6.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"5s"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
