# Traffic Speed Forecasting on PeMSD7 Medium (test)

Source: [Traffic Speed Forecasting on PeMSD7 Medium (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:49:25.987Z

Evaluation of models performing traffic speed forecasting using the test split of the PeMSD7 Medium dataset, assessed using metrics like MAE, RMSE, and MAPE across various prediction horizons (15, 30, 45 minutes).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Traffic Speed Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | PeMSD7 Medium (test) |
| Metric | MAE (15 min) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 8 of 8 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MAE (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAE%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAE%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAE%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE (%) (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [MAPE (%) (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [MAPE (%) (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [RMSE (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-medium-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MAE (15 min) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| STGCN(Cheb) | 2.25 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| STGCN(1st) | 2.26 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| GCGRU | 2.37 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| LSVR | 2.5 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| FNN | 2.74 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| FC-LSTM | 3.57 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| HA | 4.01 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |
| ARIMA | 5.55 | Not recorded | 68fa649c1e209131cea05915 |

### STGCN(Cheb)

MAE (15 min): 2.25. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STGCN(1st)

MAE (15 min): 2.26. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GCGRU

MAE (15 min): 2.37. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64131e209131cea0293d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liyaguang/DCRNN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSVR

MAE (15 min): 2.5. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f49.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FNN

MAE (15 min): 2.74. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FC-LSTM

MAE (15 min): 3.57. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5369.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HA

MAE (15 min): 4.01. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f48.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ARIMA

MAE (15 min): 5.55. Result ID: 698c4e6637894ef7d9cd5f4a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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