# Traffic Speed Forecasting on PeMSD7 Large (test)

Source: [Traffic Speed Forecasting on PeMSD7 Large (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:48:55.162Z

Evaluation of model performance on predicting traffic speed using the test split of the PeMSD7 Large dataset, assessed using time-horizon specific metrics like MAE, MAPE, and RMSE (e.g., for 15, 30, and 45-minute forecasts).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Traffic Speed Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | PeMSD7 Large (test) |
| Metric | MAE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 27 of 27 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAE%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAE%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAE%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE (%) (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [MAPE (%) (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [MAPE (%) (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [RMSE (15 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(15%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (30 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(30%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (45 min)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(45%20min)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE (%)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=MAPE%20(%25)>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [RMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-speed-forecasting-on-pemsd7-large-test.md?metric=RMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MAE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3D-TGCN | 2.27 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| DCRNN | 2.36 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| STGCN | 2.37 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FNN | 2.61 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| LSVR | 2.69 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| 3D-TGCN | 3.16 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| DCRNN | 3.24 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| STGCN | 3.27 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FNN | 3.71 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| 3D-TGCN | 3.79 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| LSVR | 3.85 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| DCRNN | 4.34 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| STGCN | 4.35 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FC-LSTM | 4.36 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FC-LSTM | 4.51 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| HA | 4.6 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FC-LSTM | 4.66 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| LSVR | 4.79 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |
| FNN | 5.36 | Not recorded | 68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9 |

### 3D-TGCN

MAE: 2.27. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331c0001.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DCRNN

MAE: 2.36. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfffe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64131e209131cea0293d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liyaguang/DCRNN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STGCN

MAE: 2.37. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfffb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FNN

MAE: 2.61. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSVR

MAE: 2.69. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### 3D-TGCN

MAE: 3.16. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331c0002.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DCRNN

MAE: 3.24. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bffff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64131e209131cea0293d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liyaguang/DCRNN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STGCN

MAE: 3.27. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfffc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FNN

MAE: 3.71. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### 3D-TGCN

MAE: 3.79. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331c0003.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSVR

MAE: 3.85. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DCRNN

MAE: 4.34. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331c0000.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa64131e209131cea0293d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/liyaguang/DCRNN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STGCN

MAE: 4.35. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfffd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FC-LSTM

MAE: 4.36. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5369.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FC-LSTM

MAE: 4.51. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5369.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"30 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### HA

MAE: 4.6. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"15/30/60 min (Average)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FC-LSTM

MAE: 4.66. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfffa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa619e1e209131ce9f5369.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LSVR

MAE: 4.79. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### FNN

MAE: 5.36. Result ID: 698cad868b517eb4331bfff7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65701e209131cea0a6d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Prediction Horizon":"60 min"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
