# Traffic Prediction on PeMS-BAY 15 min horizon (test)

Source: [Traffic Prediction on PeMS-BAY 15 min horizon (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-prediction-on-pems-bay-15-min-horizon-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:49:16.285Z

Evaluation of traffic prediction models on the test split of the PeMS-BAY dataset, specifically focusing on the 15-minute prediction horizon, assessed using metrics such as MAE, RMSE, WMAPE, and SEPA.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Traffic Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | PeMS-BAY 15 min horizon (test) |
| Metric | MAE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 18 of 18 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-prediction-on-pems-bay-15-min-horizon-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-prediction-on-pems-bay-15-min-horizon-test.md?metric=RMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [WMAPE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-prediction-on-pems-bay-15-min-horizon-test.md?metric=WMAPE>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [SEPA](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-prediction-on-pems-bay-15-min-horizon-test.md?metric=SEPA>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MAE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.5 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.51 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.51 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.51 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.52 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.53 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.53 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.53 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.54 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.54 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.55 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.55 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.55 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.55 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| No cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.55 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Full cross-cloudlet connectivity | 1.57 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.58 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |
| Adaptive graph connectivity | 1.7 | Not recorded | 6948d05c423ea42265729d93 |

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.5. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53cf.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.51. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.51. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53cb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.51. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53cd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.52. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.53. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.53. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.53. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.54. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53c8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Traditional FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.54. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.55. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53ca.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.55. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53cc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.55. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53ce.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Server-free FL","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.55. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### No cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.55. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Full cross-cloudlet connectivity

MAE: 1.57. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78bb1e209131cea7a1d9.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.58. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"140"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Adaptive graph connectivity

MAE: 1.7. Result ID: 69994fde5698665ec4ba53d4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6948d05c423ea42265729d93.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Setup":"Gossip Learning","Timewindow":"70"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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