# Traffic Forecasting on PEMS03 60 minutes (test) Source: [Traffic Forecasting on PEMS03 60 minutes (test)]() Collection index: [llms.txt]() Data updated: 2026-06-12T06:59:53.084Z Evaluation of traffic forecasting models using the 60-minute prediction horizon results from the test split of the PEMS03 dataset, typically assessed using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage. | Scope | Recorded value | | --- | --- | | Task | Traffic Forecasting | | Dataset (including any stated split) | PEMS03 60 minutes (test) | | Metric | RMSE | | Unit | SCALAR | | Direction | Lower is better | | Results loaded | 26 of 26 | | Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark | Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol. ## Metrics - [RMSE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAE](): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR. - [MAPE](): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT. ## Recorded results | Method | RMSE | Result date | Report paper | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | PatchSTG | 25.09 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | PatchSTG | 25.09 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | SimpleTM | 25.56 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | SimpleTM | 25.56 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling | 26.96 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling (Ours) | 26.96 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | PDFormer | 27.16 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | PDFormer | 27.16 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | GMAN | 27.57 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | GMAN | 27.57 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | GraphWaveNet | 28.15 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | Graph WaveNet | 28.15 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | ST-Wave | 28.65 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | ST-Wave | 28.65 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | AGCRN | 29.9 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | AGCRN | 29.9 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | VAR | 30.54 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | VAR | 30.54 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STSGCN | 30.62 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STSGCN | 30.62 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STID | 31.88 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STID | 31.88 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STGCN | 37.31 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STGCN | 37.31 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STAEformer | 38.36 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | | STAEformer | 38.36 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 | ### PatchSTG RMSE: 25.09. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298084. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"2,283K","variant":"ablated"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PatchSTG RMSE: 25.09. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d9. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Transformers","Params #":"2,283K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SimpleTM RMSE: 25.56. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298088. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"540K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### SimpleTM RMSE: 25.56. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980dd. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"MLP-based models","Params #":"540K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling RMSE: 26.96. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298089. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"38K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling (Ours) RMSE: 26.96. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980de. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Mixed-graph unrolling","Params #":"38K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PDFormer RMSE: 27.16. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298082. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"531K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### PDFormer RMSE: 27.16. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d7. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Transformers","Params #":"531K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### GMAN RMSE: 27.57. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298080. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"210K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### GMAN RMSE: 27.57. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d5. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"GATs","Params #":"210K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### GraphWaveNet RMSE: 28.15. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298085. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"277K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### Graph WaveNet RMSE: 28.15. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980da. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Adaptive-graph models","Params #":"277K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### ST-Wave RMSE: 28.65. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298081. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"883K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### ST-Wave RMSE: 28.65. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d6. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"GATs","Params #":"883K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AGCRN RMSE: 29.9. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298086. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"749K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### AGCRN RMSE: 29.9. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980db. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Adaptive-graph models","Params #":"749K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### VAR RMSE: 30.54. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29807d. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### VAR RMSE: 30.54. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d2. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Model-based","Params #":"-"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STSGCN RMSE: 30.62. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29807f. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"3,496K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STSGCN RMSE: 30.62. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d4. [Reporting paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"GNNs","Params #":"3,496K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STID RMSE: 31.88. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298087. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"123K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STID RMSE: 31.88. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980dc. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"MLP-based models","Params #":"123K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STGCN RMSE: 37.31. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29807e. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"321K","prediction\_mode":"recursive"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STGCN RMSE: 37.31. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d3. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"GNNs","Params #":"321K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STAEformer RMSE: 38.36. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298083. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"1,404K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. ### STAEformer RMSE: 38.36. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c2980d8. [Reporting paper]() [Method origin paper]() [Implementation]() Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Category":"Transformers","Params #":"1,404K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction. Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.