# Traffic Forecasting on PEMS03 120 minutes (test)

Source: [Traffic Forecasting on PEMS03 120 minutes (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-forecasting-on-pems03-120-minutes-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-06-12T06:59:53.114Z

Evaluation of traffic forecasting models using the test split of the PEMS03 dataset, specifically focusing on the 120-minute prediction horizon, typically assessed using RMSE, MAE, and MAPE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Traffic Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | PEMS03 120 minutes (test) |
| Metric | RMSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 13 of 13 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [RMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-forecasting-on-pems03-120-minutes-test.md?metric=RMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-forecasting-on-pems03-120-minutes-test.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAPE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/traffic-forecasting-on-pems03-120-minutes-test.md?metric=MAPE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | RMSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| ST-Wave | 29.88 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| PatchSTG | 29.97 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| SimpleTM | 30.58 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| GMAN | 30.69 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| AGCRN | 32.79 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling | 34.06 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| GraphWaveNet | 34.6 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| PDFormer | 35.77 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| VAR | 36.65 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| STSGCN | 38.04 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| STID | 42.98 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| STAEformer | 48.72 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |
| STGCN | 54.34 | Not recorded | 68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274 |

### ST-Wave

RMSE: 29.88. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"883K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PatchSTG

RMSE: 29.97. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298091.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"2,283K","variant":"ablated"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SimpleTM

RMSE: 30.58. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298095.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"540K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GMAN

RMSE: 30.69. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66b71e209131cea120dc.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zhengchuanpan/GMAN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"210K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### AGCRN

RMSE: 32.79. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298093.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa68891e209131cea1cc3d.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/LeiBAI/AGCRN>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"749K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Mixed Graph Algorithm Unrolling

RMSE: 34.06. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298096.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"38K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GraphWaveNet

RMSE: 34.6. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298092.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa65d51e209131cea0c8f9.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/nnzhan/Graph-WaveNet>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"277K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### PDFormer

RMSE: 35.77. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa72771e209131cea568bb.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/BUAABIGSCity/PDFormer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"531K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VAR

RMSE: 36.65. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: Not recorded. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STSGCN

RMSE: 38.04. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"3,496K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STID

RMSE: 42.98. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298094.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d381e209131cea38866.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/zezhishao/STID>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"123K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STAEformer

RMSE: 48.72. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c298090.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70c91e209131cea4d192.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/XDZhelheim/STAEformer>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"1,404K"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### STGCN

RMSE: 54.34. Result ID: 6a2bae62fbc373592c29808b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa7c0e1e209131cea8c274.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa649c1e209131cea05915.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Number of Parameters":"321K","prediction\_mode":"recursive"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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