Time Series Forecasting on TFRBench Out-of-Domain
11.9MAE (Web Traffic)Chronos-2.0
Evaluation Results
| Method | Links | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chronos-2.02026.05 | 11.9 | 0.679 | 0.011 | 0.664 | 1.96 | 0.79 | 7.24 | 0.821 | 1.95 | 0.936 | 0.778 | |
| TimesFM-2.52026.05 | 12 | 0.676 | 0.014 | 0.847 | 2.7 | 1.051 | 6.56 | 0.747 | 1.86 | 0.879 | 0.84 | |
| STRIDEBackbone=Chronos-2.02026.05 | 12.076 | 0.664 | 0.011 | 0.634 | 1.39 | 0.555 | 6.56 | 0.791 | 1.99 | 0.973 | 0.724 | |
| Gemini-3.1-Pro2026.05 | 13.6 | 1.472 | 0.015 | 1.102 | 1.73 | 0.889 | 1.03 | 1.776 | 2.7 | 1.802 | 1.408 | |
| ARIMA2026.05 | 15.4 | 0.788 | 0.039 | 2.628 | 8.65 | 3.429 | 9.11 | 0.995 | 2.28 | 1.1 | 1.788 | |
| Claude-Sonnet-4.52026.05 | 18 | 0.865 | 0.024 | 1.458 | 4.63 | 1.837 | 7.97 | 0.87 | 2.16 | 0.989 | 1.204 | |
| Claude-Sonnet-42026.05 | 19.9 | 1.211 | 0.024 | 1.45 | 5.31 | 2.085 | 1.34 | 1.511 | 3.54 | 1.651 | 1.582 | |
| Gemini-2.5-Flash2026.05 | 23.3 | 1.12 | 0.027 | 1.647 | 5.75 | 2.289 | 1.37 | 1.333 | 3.37 | 1.482 | 1.574 | |
| Gemini-2.5-Pro2026.05 | 28.2 | 1.538 | 0.03 | 1.885 | 7.1 | 2.815 | 1.49 | 1.464 | 3.57 | 1.589 | 1.858 |