# Time Series Forecasting on Solar with Weather

Source: [Time Series Forecasting on Solar with Weather](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/time-series-forecasting-on-solar-with-weather>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-14T09:32:02.441Z

Evaluation of models performing Time Series Forecasting on the Solar with Weather dataset, assessed using MSE and MAE.

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Time Series Forecasting |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | Solar with Weather |
| Metric | MSE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 5 of 5 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [MSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/time-series-forecasting-on-solar-with-weather.md?metric=MSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [MAE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/time-series-forecasting-on-solar-with-weather.md?metric=MAE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | MSE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| WaveMoE | 0.4355 | Not recorded | 69ddca137d0172140ec799de |
| Sundial | 0.5978 | Not recorded | 69ddca137d0172140ec799de |
| Time-MoE | 0.6147 | Not recorded | 69ddca137d0172140ec799de |
| Chronos | 1.5574 | Not recorded | 69ddca137d0172140ec799de |
| Timer | 1.8617 | Not recorded | 69ddca137d0172140ec799de |

### WaveMoE

MSE: 0.4355. Result ID: 69de098c47f34ce924c5cd52.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Context length":"512","Prediction horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Sundial

MSE: 0.5978. Result ID: 69de098c47f34ce924c5cd56.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa79071e209131cea7bc74.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Context length":"512","Prediction horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Time-MoE

MSE: 0.6147. Result ID: 69de098c47f34ce924c5cd53.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa772c1e209131cea7191c.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Context length":"512","Prediction horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Chronos

MSE: 1.5574. Result ID: 69de098c47f34ce924c5cd55.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa758f1e209131cea68a0b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Context length":"512","Prediction horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Timer

MSE: 1.8617. Result ID: 69de098c47f34ce924c5cd54.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69ddca137d0172140ec799de.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa753c1e209131cea66a29.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Context length":"512","Prediction horizon":"96"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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