# Temporal Reasoning Prediction on ICEWS18 (test)

Source: [Temporal Reasoning Prediction on ICEWS18 (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temporal-reasoning-prediction-on-icews18-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-02-26T05:58:09.974Z

Evaluation of Temporal Reasoning Prediction performance on the test split of the ICEWS18 dataset, measured using classification-style metrics (Positive, Negative, Neutral, Overall).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Temporal Reasoning Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ICEWS18 (test) |
| Metric | Positive Accuracy |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 17 of 17 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Positive Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temporal-reasoning-prediction-on-icews18-test.md?metric=Positive%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Negative Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temporal-reasoning-prediction-on-icews18-test.md?metric=Negative%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Neutral Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temporal-reasoning-prediction-on-icews18-test.md?metric=Neutral%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Overall Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temporal-reasoning-prediction-on-icews18-test.md?metric=Overall%20Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Positive Accuracy | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| GETER | 75.78 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| GETER | 75.61 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| GETER | 74.77 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 69.68 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 64.22 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 62.3 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| GPT-4o | 60.33 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 58.07 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 57.47 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Llama3-8B-Instruct | 55.12 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| GPT-4o | 51.64 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| LoRA | 45.82 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct | 44.22 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct | 30.94 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Llama3-8B-Instruct | 7.68 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Mistral-7B-Instruct | 4.14 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |
| Mistral-7B-Instruct | 1.06 | Not recorded | 68fa78a61e209131cea799af |

### GETER

Positive Accuracy: 75.78. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Llama3-8B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GETER

Positive Accuracy: 75.61. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d117.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Mistral-7B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GETER

Positive Accuracy: 74.77. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d112.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 69.68. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d111.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 64.22. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d116.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Mistral-7B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 62.3. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Llama3-8B-Instruct"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4o

Positive Accuracy: 60.33. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d108.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa727a1e209131cea56a1e.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/openai/evals>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 58.07. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d115.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Mistral-7B-Instruct","Reasoning Chain":"w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 57.47. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Llama3-8B-Instruct","Reasoning Chain":"w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Llama3-8B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 55.12. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4o

Positive Accuracy: 51.64. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d107.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa727a1e209131cea56a1e.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/openai/evals>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LoRA

Positive Accuracy: 45.82. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d110.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6b121e209131cea2bf59.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/microsoft/LoRA>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct","Reasoning Chain":"w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 44.22. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 30.94. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d10e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Llama3-8B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 7.68. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d109.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Mistral-7B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 4.14. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d114.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Mistral-7B-Instruct

Positive Accuracy: 1.06. Result ID: 699598913badfaffe693d113.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa78a61e209131cea799af.md>)

[Implementation](<https://github.com/carryTatum/GETER>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Type":"zero-shot w/o chains text"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
