# Temperature Prediction on MADIS 2023 (test)

Source: [Temperature Prediction on MADIS 2023 (test)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-28T06:39:59.873Z

Evaluation of temperature forecasting models on the test split of the MADIS 2023 dataset, measured using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) across various prediction horizons (1h to 48h).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Temperature Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | MADIS 2023 (test) |
| Metric | RMSE (1h) |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 1 of 1 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [RMSE (1h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(1h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (2h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(2h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (4h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(4h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (8h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(8h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (12h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(12h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (18h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(18h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (24h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(24h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (36h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(36h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [RMSE (48h)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=RMSE%20(48h)>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Mean RMSE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/temperature-prediction-on-madis-2023-test.md?metric=Mean%20RMSE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | RMSE (1h) | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Transformer | 0.7709 | Not recorded | 68fa4b761e209131ce9462ec |

### Transformer

RMSE (1h): 0.7709. Result ID: 69f0551e47f34ce924d582f9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa4b761e209131ce9462ec.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa4b761e209131ce9462ec.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"ExternalDataset":"HRRR-A"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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