# Race Outcome Prediction on F1 2023 Season

Source: [Race Outcome Prediction on F1 2023 Season](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/race-outcome-prediction-on-f1-2023-season>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-07-08T06:05:02.560Z

Evaluation of models predicting race outcomes (Winner, Top 3, Podium finishes) for the F1 2023 Season, assessed using hit rates, recall, and correlation metrics (Spearman ρ).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Race Outcome Prediction |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | F1 2023 Season |
| Metric | Winner Hit Rate |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 1 of 1 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Winner Hit Rate](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/race-outcome-prediction-on-f1-2023-season.md?metric=Winner%20Hit%20Rate>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Top-3 Winner Hit Rate](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/race-outcome-prediction-on-f1-2023-season.md?metric=Top-3%20Winner%20Hit%20Rate>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Podium Recall](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/race-outcome-prediction-on-f1-2023-season.md?metric=Podium%20Recall>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Spearman Correlation (ρ)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/race-outcome-prediction-on-f1-2023-season.md?metric=Spearman%20Correlation%20(%CF%81)>): Higher is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | Winner Hit Rate | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Pitwall | 72.7 | Not recorded | 6a4dd9da4da6617fe9198e2d |

### Pitwall

Winner Hit Rate: 72.7. Result ID: 6a4de88060b88bb339d5ef46.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a4dd9da4da6617fe9198e2d.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/6a4dd9da4da6617fe9198e2d.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"nsims":"400"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.