# Question Answering on HotpotQA (test) (ACC, AUROC, Brier, ECE Metrics)

Source: [Question Answering on HotpotQA (test) (ACC, AUROC, Brier, ECE Metrics)](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/question-answering-on-hotpotqa-test-acc-auroc-brier-ece-metrics>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-04-02T09:28:57.780Z

Evaluation of model performance on the test split of the HotpotQA dataset for Question Answering, focusing on Accuracy, AUROC, Brier score, and Expected Calibration Error (ECE).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Question Answering |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | HotpotQA (test) |
| Metric | Accuracy |
| Unit | PERCENT |
| Direction | Higher is better |
| Results loaded | 28 of 28 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [Accuracy](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/question-answering-on-hotpotqa-test-acc-auroc-brier-ece-metrics.md?metric=Accuracy>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [AUROC](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/question-answering-on-hotpotqa-test-acc-auroc-brier-ece-metrics.md?metric=AUROC>): Higher is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [Brier Score](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/question-answering-on-hotpotqa-test-acc-auroc-brier-ece-metrics.md?metric=Brier%20Score>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

- [ECE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/question-answering-on-hotpotqa-test-acc-auroc-brier-ece-metrics.md?metric=ECE>): Lower is better; unit: PERCENT.

## Recorded results

| Method | Accuracy | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| GPT-4.1 | 68.6 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Distrib. | 68.2 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Conf. | 68.2 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Conf. | 67.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Top-k | 67.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini | 66.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Probability Distribution | 66.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Top-k | 65.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Distrib. | 59.4 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Conf. | 59.1 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 | 58.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Top-k | 57.2 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k | 43.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib. | 43.8 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct | 43.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Logit | 43.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + p(True) | 43.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf. | 42.6 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib. | 33.6 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Top-k | 33 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k | 31.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Conf. | 31.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Probability Distribution | 31.7 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct | 30.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Logit | 30.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + p(True) | 30.3 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Thinking | 29.9 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |
| Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf. | 29 | Not recorded | 691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799 |

### GPT-4.1

Accuracy: 68.6. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b062.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 68.2. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b065.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 68.2. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 67.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b063.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-4.1 + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 67.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b064.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"GPT-4.1","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini

Accuracy: 66.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Probability Distribution

Accuracy: 66.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### GPT-5-mini + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 65.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b08c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"GPT-5-mini","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 59.4. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b069.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 59.1. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b067.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3

Accuracy: 58.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b066.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### DeepSeek-V3 + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 57.2. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b068.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeepSeek-V3","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 43.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b060.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 43.8. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b061.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct

Accuracy: 43.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05c.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Logit

Accuracy: 43.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05d.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Logit"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + p(True)

Accuracy: 43.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05e.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ p(True)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 42.6. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05f.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Distrib.

Accuracy: 33.6. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05b.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 33. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b088.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Top-k

Accuracy: 31.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b05a.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Top-k"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 31.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b087.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking + Verbalized Probability Distribution

Accuracy: 31.7. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b089.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Verbalized Probability Distribution"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct

Accuracy: 30.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b056.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Logit

Accuracy: 30.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b057.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Logit"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + p(True)

Accuracy: 30.3. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b058.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6df71e209131cea3d034.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ p(True)"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Thinking

Accuracy: 29.9. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b086.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa788e1e209131cea79116.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone Model":"Qwen3-4B-Thinking","Confidence Estimation Strategy":"Base"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Qwen3-4B-Instruct + Verbalized Conf.

Accuracy: 29. Result ID: 69ce36d647f34ce924b7b059.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/691d4f16d6b0dd334292d799.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa70f81e209131cea4e72e.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"Qwen3-4B-Instruct","Inference Strategy":"+ Verbalized Conf."}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

Page 1 of 1. This is an index page, not the full collection.
