# Probability Calibration on ChaosNLI combined SNLI+MNLI K=3

Source: [Probability Calibration on ChaosNLI combined SNLI+MNLI K=3](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3>)

Collection index: [llms.txt](<https://www.sota2.com/research/llms.txt>)

Data updated: 2026-03-25T13:47:34.897Z

Evaluation of model probability calibration performance on the ChaosNLI dataset, which combines samples from SNLI and MNLI (K=3 subset), measured using metrics like Expected Calibration Error (ECE), Brier Score (Br), and Negative Log Likelihood (NLL).

A research result applies to its stated dataset, split, metric and evaluation configuration. Compare like-for-like settings, preserve the metric's unit and direction, and distinguish paper-reported results from independent reproduction. The best result recorded here is not a claim of exhaustive, current global coverage.

| Scope | Recorded value |
| --- | --- |
| Task | Probability Calibration |
| Dataset (including any stated split) | ChaosNLI combined SNLI+MNLI K=3 |
| Metric | ECE |
| Unit | SCALAR |
| Direction | Lower is better |
| Results loaded | 26 of 26 |
| Coverage | All results currently returned for this benchmark |

Evaluation settings may differ between results. The original papers and recorded configurations are needed to establish comparability. A shared metric name alone does not establish an identical protocol.

## Metrics

- [ECE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3.md?metric=ECE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [aECE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3.md?metric=aECE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [cwECE](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3.md?metric=cwECE>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [Br](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3.md?metric=Br>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

- [NLL](<https://www.sota2.com/research/sota/probability-calibration-on-chaosnli-combined-snli-plus-mnli-k-3.md?metric=NLL>): Lower is better; unit: SCALAR.

## Recorded results

| Method | ECE | Result date | Report paper |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| IR-Soft | 2.15 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Dirichlet-Soft | 2.57 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| IR-Soft | 2.65 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| LS-TS | 2.65 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| SoftPlatt | 2.66 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| MCTS S=1 | 2.82 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| SoftPlatt | 3.17 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Dirichlet-Soft | 3.19 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| MCTS S=1 | 3.2 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| SLTS | 3.22 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| SLTS | 3.45 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| VS | 3.46 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Oracle TS | 3.48 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Oracle TS | 3.66 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| VS | 3.91 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| LS-TS | 4.16 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| TS | 10.55 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Platt | 11.16 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| ATS | 11.36 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Dirichlet-Hard | 11.55 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| TS | 11.63 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Platt | 12.43 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Dirichlet-Hard | 12.69 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| ATS | 13.09 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Uncalibrated | 27.79 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |
| Uncalibrated | 35.97 | Not recorded | 69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b |

### IR-Soft

ECE: 2.15. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8805.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Dirichlet-Soft

ECE: 2.57. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f9.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### IR-Soft

ECE: 2.65. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f8.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LS-TS

ECE: 2.65. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8807.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"6.15"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SoftPlatt

ECE: 2.66. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f6.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MCTS S=1

ECE: 2.82. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f5.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"3.49"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SoftPlatt

ECE: 3.17. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8803.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Dirichlet-Soft

ECE: 3.19. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8806.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### MCTS S=1

ECE: 3.2. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8802.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"5.45"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SLTS

ECE: 3.22. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f4.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"3.41"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### SLTS

ECE: 3.45. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8801.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"5.28"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VS

ECE: 3.46. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f7.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Oracle TS

ECE: 3.48. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87fb.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"3.34"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Oracle TS

ECE: 3.66. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8808.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"5.21"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### VS

ECE: 3.91. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8804.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### LS-TS

ECE: 4.16. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87fa.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"4.40"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS

ECE: 10.55. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f0.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa638b1e209131ce9ff6d1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"2.42"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Platt

ECE: 11.16. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f2.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ATS

ECE: 11.36. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f1.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d121e209131cea376ea.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large","Temperature (T)":"2.28"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Dirichlet-Hard

ECE: 11.55. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87f3.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66911e209131cea10ee8.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### TS

ECE: 11.63. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87fd.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa638b1e209131ce9ff6d1.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"3.81"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Platt

ECE: 12.43. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87ff.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Dirichlet-Hard

ECE: 12.69. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad8800.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa66911e209131cea10ee8.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### ATS

ECE: 13.09. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87fe.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

[Method origin paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/68fa6d121e209131cea376ea.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3","Temperature (T)":"3.57"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Uncalibrated

ECE: 27.79. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87ef.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"RoBERTa-Large"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

### Uncalibrated

ECE: 35.97. Result ID: 69c3e77347f34ce924ad87fc.

[Reporting paper](<https://www.sota2.com/research/paper/69c36c3d0636e5bf4afc664b.md>)

Recorded evaluation configuration: {"Backbone":"DeBERTa-v3"}. This record does not assert independent reproduction.

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